It is expected that Gulf oil-producing countries would resist calls to cut production at the meeting of «Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries» (OPEC) next month, as these countries continue to maintain its market share at the top of its priorities, as analysts in the oil sector see.
The decision of the 12 Member States of the Organization at its meeting in November to not cut the production, lead to deterioration of prices by 60 percent, before returning to the recovery in recent weeks.
The Saudi economist Abdulwahab Abu-Dahesh said: « maintaining market share remains a top priority for the Gulf States. »
He said that what encourage these countries more to do so is «indicators that the strategy adopted in November succeeded, as it led to a reduction of the US shale oil production and the number of drilling areas».
In the face of the sharp decline in its revenues from the oil, some «OPEC» countries especially Iran and Venezuela called publicly to cut production to shore up prices.
A former member of the Supreme Petroleum Council in Kuwait Moses Marefy: «I do not think that any change will happen during the OPEC meeting».
He added that «the Gulf states will continue to defend its market share, and they have the right (...) they will not accept to cut production at its expense, unless an agreement was reached between the non-oil-producing countries.»
It is likely that the burden of any cut in the production of «OPEC» is located on the shoulders of the Gulf countries, namely Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, the UAE and Qatar, which increased its production by about 3.5 million barrels per day since 2011.
At the moment, these countries pumped 16.8 million barrels of oil per day; equivalent to 55 percent of the total production of «OPEC», as Saudi Arabia alone produces 10.3 million barrels per day.
The United States reduced its imports of heavy oil from Latin America and replacing it with Canadian sand oil.
Loughani said that «that pay exporters from Africa and Latin America to search for new markets in the east», adding that more than 3 million barrels per day of high quality crude oil are being pumped to these markets in the competition for the Gulf countries.
He stressed that it puts additional pressure on OPEC countries, especially the Petroleum Exporting Gulf states of, pay them to cooperate in order to maintain their market share and even ensure new importers to additional quantities in the future».
It is likely that «OPEC» countries will be convinced to continue its strategy after the relative recovery of oil prices and lower US production of shale oil.
US Department of Energy data showed decline in crude oil production from 112 thousand barrels to 9.26 million barrels in early May.
Delegate of Kuwait in «OPEC» Nawal Fezia told reporters last week that «prices improve, the growth of supplies from non-member countries in OPEC, especially from oil shale is lower than before and demand bottoms out ».
Oil prices witnessed over the past few weeks an improvement by nearly 40 percent, but it is still less than the average, which exceeded 100 $ per a barrel in June of last year.
Fezia confirmed that the surplus in production dropped from about two million barrels in last year to between one million and 1.2 million barrels now.
But «Commerzbank» warned in early May that «surplus production in the oil market will continue until OPEC cut its production».